Monday, June 21, 2010

The Season Starts Again With Adobe Systems


Adobe Systems
Q2 Revenue Est.:  887.74 Mil
Q2 EPS Est.:  $0.43
ADBE
NOTE:  Adobe will report Q2 earnings after the market close on Tuesday, June 22.
Q2 INCOME STATEMENT
Three Months Ended May 28, 2010
Revenue
$887,737


Cost of Revenue:

   Products
$70,310
   Services & Support
$20,289
       Total Revenue
$90,599


Gross Profit
$797,138


Operating Expenses:

   R&D
$173,265
   S&M
$302,613
   G&A
$92,931
   Restructuring
$13,955
   Amortization
$20,974
        Total Oper. Ex.
$603,739


Operating Income
$193,399


NO Income:

   Int & Other
$5,734
   Int Ex.
-$2,403
   Investments
-$856
        Total NO Income
$2,475
Income before Taxes
$195,874
Provision for Inc. Tax
$45,541
Net Income
$150,333


NON-GAAP Adj.

   Stock-based Comp.
$55,514
   Restructuring
$13,955
   Amortization
$37,062
   Investment losses
$856
   Inc. Tax Adj.
-$28,275
        NON-GAAP NI
$229,446


Diluted EPS
$0.43

Analysts are currently forecasting a second quarter revenue figure of $905.51M with EPS of $0.43.  My estimates are slightly less optimistic when it comes to top-line growth; however, I am more optimistic on the company’s ability to generate earnings, which explains why my EPS figure is the same as consensus.
I will not be giving a Trading Recommendation for Adobe Systems (“ADBE”) this quarter.  While I am predicting that Q2 revenue will come in below analysts’ consensus, I do not believe that it will be enough to drag the stock down a significant amount.  Relative to past earnings reports, the stock’s volatility Tuesday and Wednesday should not be too dramatic.  
Trading Recommendation:  None
ADBE Ownership
Author:   NO
Author’s Family:  NO

Disclaimer:
· Opinions, estimates and projections contained in this report are of the author as of the date published and are subject to change without notice.
· This report is not, nor should it be construed as, an offer to sell or solicitation of an offer to buy any securities.
· Unless otherwise noted, all research reports provide information of a general nature and do not address the circumstances of any particular investor.
· It is important to do your own due diligence on any position you enter.
    

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