Wednesday, July 14, 2010

Cappuccinos!


Starbucks Corporation
Q3 Rev Est.:  $2.62 Bil
Q3 EPS Est.:  $0.30
SBUX
On average, analysts are expecting $2.55 Bil in third-quarter revenue for Starbucks (“SBUX”) with earnings of $0.29 per share.  Both of these figures are below my estimates of $2.62 Bil in revenue and $0.30 in earnings.  Shares of the premium coffee maker have risen more than 80% over the past twelve months and 12.5% year-to-date.  Going into the late-July announcement, I am cautiously optimistic.  SBUX has a history of high earnings surprises.  If the stock is below $25 the day of the release, I recommend buying calls. 
Income Statement
For the three months ended June 27, 2010
Total Net Revenues
$2,618.83
Cost of Sales
$1,099.91
Store Operating Ex.
$856.36
Other Operating Ex.
$65.46
Depreciation
$133.92
G&A
$141.42
Restructuring
$8.16
   Total Operating Ex.
$2,305.21
Income from Equity Investees
$35.80
   Operating Income
$349.42
Interest Income
$11.78
Interest Ex.
-$8.27
EBT
$352.93
Taxes
$122.42
NC Interests
$0.81
Net Income
$229.70
Adj:  Restructuring
$5.14
Net Income for EPS
$234.84
Diluted EPS
$0.30

Trading Recommendation:  Buy Calls (read above)

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SBUX Ownership
Author:   NO
Author’s Family:  NO

Disclaimer:
· Opinions, estimates and projections contained in this report are of the author as of the date published and are subject to change without notice.
· This report is not, nor should it be construed as, an offer to sell or solicitation of an offer to buy any securities.
· Unless otherwise noted, all research reports provide information of a general nature and do not address the circumstances of any particular investor.
· It is important to do your own due diligence on any position you enter.

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