Showing posts with label VMware Inc. Show all posts
Showing posts with label VMware Inc. Show all posts

Tuesday, April 19, 2011

Intel & VMware Jump in After Hours Tradings

Intel Corporation finished the after hours session up 4.58%, while traders pushed shares of VMware up 12.48%.   

Intel
Paul Otellini stated that Intel's Q1 results were "...an all-time record for Intel fueled by double digit annual revenue growth in every major product segment and across all geographies."  Below is a comparison of my Q1 prediction versus actual results.

Income Statement
Three months ended March 31, 2011

Tyler Smithson
Actual
Net Revenue
$11,377
12,847
Cost of Sales
4,278
4,962
Gross Margin
7,099
7,885



R&D
1,670
1,916
MG&A
1,672
1,775
Amortization
7
36
Operating Expenses
3,349
3,727



Operating Income
3,749
4,158
Gains/(Losses) on Equity Investments
-39
28
Gains/(Losses) on Other Equity Investments
-27
-
Interest and Other, Net
95
185



Income Before Taxes
3,778
4,371
Provision for Taxes
1,141
1,211
Net Income
$2,637
$3,160



EPS
$0.47
$0.56

VMware
Not only did VMware have a spectacular quarter, Mark Peek, the chief financial officer, also guided higher for the second quarter and fiscal 2011 year:
 
VMware's first quarter results were driven by strong demand across all geographies.  Second quarter 2011 revenues are expected to be in the range of $860 and $880 million, a year-over-year increase of 28% to 31%. For the year, we expect annual revenues to be in the range of $3.55 billion and $3.65 billion, an increase of 24% to 28% compared to 2010. We expect our non-GAAP operating margin for 2011 to expand slightly from 2010.

Below is a comparison of my Q1 prediction versus actual results.

Income Statement
Three months ended March 31, 2011

Tyler Smithson
Actual
Total Revenue
$817,542
$843,721
Operating Ex:


   Cost of License Revenue
50,824
56,018
   Cost of Service Revenue
89,752
93,879
   R&D
179,859
169,163
   Sales & Marketing
302,490
302,924
   G&A
74,226
68,235
      Total Operating Ex
697,152
690,219



Operating Income
120,390
153,502
Investment Income
2,648
3,406
Interest Ex
-1,093
-959
Other Income
-3,546
165
Income Before Taxes
118,400
156,114
Provision for Income Taxes
21,111
30,302
Net Income
97,289
125,812



EPS
$0.42
$0.48

The Street v. Tyler Smithson


Company
Metric
Actual
Analysts’ Consensus
% Error
Tyler Smithson
% Error
Intel
Revenue
$12.90
$11.60
10.08%
$11.38
11.78%
EPS
$0.59
$0.46
22.03%
$0.47
20.34%
VMware
Revenue
$843.72
$815.06
-3.40%
$817.54
-3.10%
EPS
$0.48
$0.42
12.50%
$0.42
12.50%


INTC Ownership                     VMW Ownership
Author:   NO                          Author:  YES
Author’s Family:  NO              Author's Family:  NO

Disclaimer:
· Opinions, estimates and projections contained in this report are of the author as of the date published and are subject to change without notice.
· This report is not, nor should it be construed as, an offer to sell or solicitation of an offer to buy any securities.
· Unless otherwise noted, all research reports provide information of a general nature and do not address the circumstances of any particular investor.
· It is important to do your own due diligence on any position you enter.

Monday, July 19, 2010

Virtualization


VMware, Inc
Q2 Rev Est.:  $658.24 M
Q2 EPS Est.:  $0.33
VMW Logo
On average, analysts are expecting second-quarter revenue for VMware, Inc (“VMW”) to come in at $654.02 M with earnings of $0.32 per share.  Both of these figures are lower than my estimates of $658.24 M in revenue and $0.33 in earnings.  Shares of the software maker have risen a shocking 70% year-to-date.  This is in comparison to the DJI being slightly negative over the same time period.  Even more spectacular is the 1-year chart, showing a 140% increase in VMW share price compared to a < 20% rise in the DOW.  With the estimates that I have generated, there is a 3.13% EPS surprise built in.  While this is a seemingly positive indicator, readers must be aware that this is in comparison to an average surprise of 14.7% over the previous four quarters.  As a result of these factors, I have decided to place a buy puts Trading Recommendation on the stock. 
VMW Chart
Income Statement
For the three months ended June 30, 2010
Total Revenue
$658,239


Operating Ex:

   Cost of License Rev
$13,436
   Cost of Services Rev
$66,952
   R&D
$128,622
   S&M
$212,282
   G&A
$60,140


Operating Income
$176,806
Investment Income
$926
Interest Ex.
-$991
Other Ex.
-$1,836
Income before Taxes
$174,906
Taxes
$36,730
Net Income
$138,175


Diluted EPS
$0.33

Trading Recommendation:  Buy Puts

For more on what a “Trading Recommendation” means, please click HERE.
If you are not already a Follower, be sure to click the "Follow" button in the right portion of your screen so you can catch all of my new posts as soon as they're released!
VMW Ownership
Author:   NO
Author’s Family:  NO

Disclaimer:
· Opinions, estimates and projections contained in this report are of the author as of the date published and are subject to change without notice.
· This report is not, nor should it be construed as, an offer to sell or solicitation of an offer to buy any securities.
· Unless otherwise noted, all research reports provide information of a general nature and do not address the circumstances of any particular investor.
· It is important to do your own due diligence on any position you enter.